FREE NBA Pick – Spurs @ Trailblazers – 2/4/2010
Thursday, February 4, 2010 – 9:30pm (cst) San Antonio Spurs at PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS (+2.5)
I really like this line here people! Both teams have similar records, so we know it will be a close game. Here are some stats and recent trends that are helping me make my decision on the outcome:
STAT BLAZERS SPURS ADVANTAGE
Avg pts at Home 100.5 X
Avg pts on Road X 97.2 Blazers by 3.3
STAT BLAZERS OPP ADVANTAGE
Avg pts at Home 100.5 95 Blazers by 4.5
Last 5 Games 102.4 103.8 Spurs by 1.4
STAT Opp SPURS ADVANTAGE
Avg pts Away 96.8 97.2 Spurs by .4
Last 5 Games 100.2 101.2 Spurs by 1
Now…….keep in mind The Blazers are GETTING 2.5 points. Therefore, for every situation where the Spurs are favored, take away the (+2.5) that The Blazers are getting, and the ADVANTAGE goes towards the TRAILBLAZERS across the entire board! Not by much, but the sweep across the board is very impressive!
Here are some more trends to consider -
PORTLAND is 7-2 against the spread vs San Antonio over the last 3 seasonss
PORTLAND is 4-0 agianst the spread AT HOME vs San Antonio over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up AT HOME vs San Antonio over the last 3 seasons
My money is on - PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS (+2.5)