FREE NBA Pick – Spurs @ Trailblazers – 2/4/2010

FREE NBA Pick

Thursday, February 4, 2010 – 9:30pm (cst) San Antonio Spurs at PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS (+2.5)

I really like this line here people! Both teams have similar records, so we know it will be a close game. Here are some stats and recent trends that are helping me make my decision on the outcome:

STAT                       BLAZERS      SPURS     ADVANTAGE       

Avg pts at Home     100.5                   X

Avg pts on Road         X                      97.2     Blazers by 3.3

 

STAT                     BLAZERS        OPP       ADVANTAGE       

Avg pts at Home        100.5             95         Blazers by 4.5

 Last 5 Games              102.4          103.8      Spurs by 1.4

 

STAT                          Opp           SPURS       ADVANTAGE       

Avg pts Away            96.8             97.2             Spurs by .4

 Last 5 Games           100.2           101.2            Spurs by 1

 

Now…….keep in mind The Blazers are GETTING 2.5 points. Therefore, for every situation where the Spurs are favored, take away the (+2.5) that The Blazers are getting, and the ADVANTAGE goes towards the TRAILBLAZERS across the entire  board! Not by much, but the sweep across the board is very impressive!

Here are some more trends to consider -

PORTLAND is 7-2 against the spread vs San Antonio over the last 3 seasonss

PORTLAND is 4-0 agianst the spread AT HOME vs San Antonio over the last 3 seasons

PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up AT HOME vs San Antonio over the last 3 seasons

My money is on -  PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS (+2.5)

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